詹長權 (台大公衛學院副院長)
現任首爾市長朴元淳在2011年首次整合在野勢力以53%對46%的選票擊敗保守派讓自由派主政首爾，在2014年再度用新政治民主聯合身分以56%對43%的選票擊敗新世界黨財閥候選人的鄭夢準成功連任首爾市長。2014年的台北市長選舉，隨著在野聯盟候選人柯文哲的出線，正式宣告台北人將有一次類似韓國首爾過去兩次市長選舉時，選擇在野聯盟候選人不選政黨黨員當市長的機會。
台灣和南韓是近代成功從一黨專政過渡到有選舉政黨輪替執政的新興民主國家，兩國的民主化和政經發展一向亦步亦趨、相互輝映。台北人在年底的選舉會不會步首爾人的後塵，掙脫政黨框框的限制選擇自己所想要的新政治呢?就當前台灣社會的氣氛和未來幾個月政局的走勢看來，台北的政治正在朝向去政黨化的方向發展，因為人民對國民黨執政不滿對民進黨信任不夠。
最近四屆總統選舉選出兩屆國民黨兩屆民進黨總統，雖然政黨輪替執政貪污濫權的政治弊病卻難根除。國民黨在最近四屆台北市長、立委和市議員選舉都勝利，但是全面多數執政的結果卻是執政不力、建設有限且弊案連連、經濟發展和勞力薪資停滯、貧富懸殊擴大。二十年來在歷次選舉中被國民黨以政治符號、意識形態、政黨動員圈起來的台北選民，其實已經成為廣大的政治誤判的受害者。最近【假十二年國教】的教育災難，更讓大人選錯黨的禍害延伸到還沒有選票的下一代子女身上。2014年畢業和2015年預定再次受【假十二年國教】凜虐的國中生和家長是當今台灣社會最不幸、最焦慮的一群人。
監督力道不足、欠缺執政企圖心和政策規劃能力、基層經營薄弱的在野失職，讓民進黨在台北市難以突破國民黨設下的選舉框架屢戰屢敗，國民黨的執政失利卻相對未提升人民對最大反對黨民進黨的期待。選民轉向支持一位非國民黨、非民進黨市長，有可能成為年底選舉不受政黨綁架的一個務實的抉擇。
接下來就看柯文哲有沒有能力和魅力像朴元淳一樣，成功地整合非國民黨的政治勢力和豐沛的社會力量打選戰?能不能承諾市民運用透明、直接的程序來執政?給一個安全、溫勳、創新、永續、活力首都生活的機會?出於保護自身和子女的自利考量，台北人的政治態度和投票行為是有機會在今年位移，進而做出首爾式的抉擇，結果如何且讓我們拭目以待。
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