美夢與誰相隨?

瞿海源 / 中國時報 A15 時論廣場

到九二○,陳水扁擔任總統五年四個月,已經超過任期的百分之六十七,也就是三分之二以上,剩下不到三分之一,如果再扣掉最後幾個月,陳水扁總統有效執政大概只剩下任期的四分之一的樣子。然而民進黨執政幾乎快到了崩盤的邊緣,種種執政失敗的實際結果已經讓民眾到了忍耐的臨界點。謝內閣以和解共生為號召,但是目前被在野黨困在立法院,上不了台,動彈不得,和解不成,要求倒閣不成,內閣生不如死。

扁政府前任國安會副祕書長司馬文武日前在評論國內朝野政黨對小泉獲勝的反應時,有下面幾段直言批判,看來讓人覺得不但一針見血,深得我心,更使人感到執政沉淪到如此地步,真是令人心驚膽顫:

  ──民進黨「雖然嘴巴上仍以改革作號召,但最大力氣不是在應付接二連三的危機,就是在指責別人,認為在野黨應該負起他們執政失敗的責任」。
  ──「執政團隊離離落落,無力推動改革」。
  ──「阿扁改革的對象卻是反對黨」。
  ──「阿扁只是講話翻來覆去,態度前後搖擺而已,根本談不上民粹」。
  ──「為了選舉隨便說說,說些自己做不到的話,說完就忘了」。
  ──朝野政黨「都想改革別人,不想改革自己,真是怪事」。

陳水扁在提前舉行的民進黨十九年黨慶活動上,許下三願,即一願台灣成為正常、美麗、偉大的國家,二願民進黨年底選舉贏得全台過半縣市執政權,二○○八繼續執政,三願民進黨永遠堅持改革。許這三願,相對於司馬文武的評論,看起來陳總統許願相當悲涼,因為都可能因執政無力,操守沉淪,顯得又是美夢相隨而已。

陳水扁總統任期已經過了三分之二,整體執政能力遲遲無法提升,相對的,種種特權乃至不良政治惡習卻暴露無遺。「堅持改革」是二次競選總統以來的口號,現在又成為陳水扁的願望,而這個願望講得更像口號,要「永遠」堅持改革。繳不出改革的成績單,堅持改革就是空談,是編織來自欺欺人的美夢。

大的改革的事做不成,例行的施政也頻頻出問題。小蔥的問題解決不了,幾乎跟壓垮駱駝的最後一根稻草一樣。其實類似小蔥問題多得不得了。更多更大的問題,行政部門大多束手無策,諸如經濟、兩岸關係,政府動不了,幾乎就已經麻木了。

就在大小危機不斷湧現,又有幾則與第一家庭有關的「醜聞」陸續上了媒體:第一夫人侄子、駙馬的小姑丈都升遷異常,駙馬還去直接拿走台鹽新開發的產品,女兒一家三口去美國買經濟艙的票,卻升到頭等艙,再加上兒子結婚的鋪張,這種種消息接二連三出現,第一家庭根本就無法辯解。讓人感到疑惑的是,總統為什麼沒有想到這些事根本不應該發生。女兒一家三口去美國難道不知道華航會禮遇升等,如果知道不是擺明就是要買經濟艙坐頭等艙?

日前時報文教基金會舉辦稅制改革的公與義研討會,其中學者根據一九九八年以來的財稅資料,統計發現收入在八百萬元以上者有四百人沒繳稅,在二○○○年以前都只是個位數,例如一九九九年時只有五人。值得追問的是為什麼在近三年,或是說在民進黨執政後,會發生這種全民不解,學者都憤慨的事。

大大小小、林林總總施政失敗的事跡累積起來,如果完全無法改善,年底民進黨縣市長選舉固守既有席次都會有很大的困難,阿扁的三願也就只能成為相隨他而去的美夢。

(作者為中央研究院社會學研究所研究員)

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