設法圈住藍綠巨靈!

徐永明 / 中國時報 A15/時論廣場

或許,謝院長真的是有先見之明,預知目前的尷尬紀事,在立法院這個會期開議前,就呼應著小泉解散日本國會的先例,要求泛藍如果不支持治水條例,就應該發動倒閣,讓陳總統解散國會重選。目前施政報告遭到連續杯葛,果然證明謝院長是夠聰明的政治人物,但卻並沒有高明到找到脫逃之路,只是靜靜地等著,像是海明威筆下的人物,不慌忙地等待最糟糕的結局。

當然,所謂解散國會這不過是個訴求,而不是一個深思熟慮的政治行動。因為重選對個別立委而言成本昂貴,藍綠立委的意願都不高,就算選舉結果泛藍還是多數,陳總統也不一定要指定泛藍組閣,因為閣揆同意權已經拿掉了,這是為什麼:馬主席是百般不願意修憲的,如果真的要修,只愛閣揆同意權。

這個憲政上的缺陷,導致過去數年來的政治僵局,無論是四年前的核四案,還是去年的真調會案,都是在朝小野大的鬥爭格局上發展,雖然在野嘗試要透過立法主導,但是行政權還是在民進黨手上,硬幹的結果就是違憲難行的真調會。至於執政黨,遇到在野黨杯葛時,無論是軍購、治水,還是監委同意權,只能躺在程序委員會,既無法通過成為法案,也無法解散國會來訴諸新民意,造就一個政治上的困境,全台灣都看在眼裡,成為一個執政無能的象徵。

這就是總統不能主動解散國會,而國會對行政院長無同意權的失衡下場,加上覆議門檻的下降,執政的雖然受制於在野的多數,但是泛藍的立法主導不過是對行政權的騷擾而已,真調會就是血淋淋的案例,目前所謂的四大調查委員會不過是重復舊轍,讓監察院停擺,不代表調查權就會自動回歸到立法院,但是眼見黨籍立委的高昂士氣,馬主席的加油聲彷彿是拚向二○○八總統大選的達達馬蹄聲,因為能在立法院給謝長廷難看,那麼往總統之路就更近一步了。

這就不難理解,為什麼立委們會殺紅了眼,忘記了在人民眼中是怎樣的形象,連不沾鍋馬主席也是喜孜孜的;而民間社會也習以為常了,任憑立法怠惰拉低了台灣的競爭力,整個憲政僵局提供了政治鬥爭的舞台,政客台上亂舞,人民自顧求生,這大概是所謂憲政沉淪的最佳寫照,因為無論是泛藍賭在掏空行政權,還是泛綠等著社會反彈,走的都是藍綠再對立的老路,過去五年已經證明是兩敗俱傷了。

如果讓我們面對現實,現在就是總統選戰開打了!問題已經不是時程太早與否,而是台灣能否再承受三年的藍綠惡鬥,就算是要把民進黨政府換下來,那也是○八年的事情,那時的台灣已經不知道被糟蹋到怎樣的境地,所謂淪落為菲律賓,還是拉美化,進而在民主上面倒退,大概不是危言聳聽,而是另一種預知死亡紀事般的恐怖。

其實,我們都已經老練到對台灣的政黨與政治人物不抱任何期待,但卻也對於現狀的改變不懷任何理想,對於所謂憲改的呼聲,也習慣以有色的眼鏡視之:不是泛綠公投綁大選的故伎重施,就是泛藍不服輸的杯葛手段,沒有所謂在藍綠之上,超乎○八年總統大選計算的,符合正義原則的憲政藍圖。

這更證明了,台灣走在關鍵的十字路口上,但能走出這個困局的,已經不是計算滿心的政治人物,而是悲觀但清明的台灣人民。不論是透過年底縣市長選舉的選票懲罰,還是草根的憲改運動,找出一個憲政架構圈住藍、綠這兩個政治巨靈,已經是民主進程的共同挑戰。因為世界不會等待一個繼續原地踏步的台灣。

(作者為中央研究院社會科學研究中心助理研究員)

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