新政治典範:協商內閣

【徐永明】/ 中國時報 A15/時論廣場

如果說游內閣定位為戰鬥內閣,無論是拚經濟還是刮選票似乎都已經告一段落了;現在對新閣的期許多是新的字眼,像是協商、溝通、和解、合作等,代表一個新的政治工作類型,從殺氣騰騰的字眼到折衷協商的方向。過去引以為傲的衝、拚、過半、永續執政等,都已經褪流行了,從目前對於內閣改組的期望,有一個新的政治典範正在出現。

去年底的立委選舉可以說是一個關鍵,選前泛綠聲勢看好,用的詞彙都是征服性的,從「終結」黨國體制、席次「過半」,乃至正名等,隱喻一個新興勢力崛起取而代之的氣勢;選舉結果出乎意料地,泛綠並未過半,當大家還在探討民進黨挫敗的原因時,政黨和解與合作卻已然成為新興的政治價值,之前的殺伐之氣硬是生生轉為要琴瑟合鳴,這是民進黨彈性的表現,也是大家狐疑的所在。

策略效果上,這個政黨和解的方向的確瓦解了立院多數組閣的壓力,這一陣子大家猜行政院新閣揆是不是高雄市長謝長廷時,還是以陳水扁總統的思維方向來推論;那一廂,國、親正忙著為立法院正副院長固盤,光是用不用黨紀來約束委員投票就已經爾虞我詐,很少有時間對少數組閣提出批評,更不要說閣揆條件,當然也不會有倒閣的恐嚇,顯然民、親雖然沒有立即的合作成局,但是兩黨已經各蒙其利了,親民黨有副院長在手,民進黨有新內閣的想像空間。

這是政黨和解思維的操作表現,當泛藍/泛綠的劃分法瓦解時,民進黨與親民黨的和解就讓政治僵局有了化解的可能性。雖然這些職位的分配是透過國親合作而來的,卻是以民親和在後作為動力,這就是政黨和解的邏輯:民親和的可能性催化了親民黨發展的空間,行為上卻是國民黨的不得不禮讓,避免了泛藍選民的反彈,實質影響卻是長遠的,藍/綠的二分法為多黨互動所取代。

而新閣揆也必須是能呼應這個政治新典範的政治人物,這解釋了為何高支持度的蘇貞昌與閣揆擦身而過,因為「衝、衝、衝」還是征服性的語言,散發著單面向的氣息,蘇貞昌的總統之路,除了必須選贏年底的縣市長選舉之外,必須慎思這個政治新典範的影響,以及民意對政治人物新風格的口味。所以,這也是為什麼游錫(方方土)續任的機會降低,作為最能配合陳水扁總統意志的行政院長,續任可以減少雙首長必然的磨合期,以及避免產生總統、閣揆爭權的風險,但是游作為就政治典範的執行者,必然隨著新典範的浮現而去職。

從這個政治典範遞移的角度還理解內閣更替,可能比較能在陳總統的權力平衡術之外,探索台灣下一階段政治發展的主軸。

相較於扁、蘇的剛質風格,謝長廷是有性具柔軟度的,雖然旁邊的市府團隊不乏基本教義的代表性人物,這樣的政治風格讓長扁之爭時期的政治權鬥維持在一定的範圍內,也讓九六年後擔任副總統候選人失利的謝長廷,能自由自在南下高雄,挺過宋七力風波,開創政治的新春,奠定南綠北藍的政治版圖。尤其相較於另一個直轄市長馬英九,外有市政危機纏身,內有連、王兩位家長在上,在總統之路的競爭上,環顧黨內外,謝有了一定的領先性。

不過,一個協商內閣的建立在台灣政治發展上是稀少的,不僅執政的民進黨沒有經驗,國、親也是摸著石頭過河。這樣見招拆招的發展下,試煉著政治人物的眼光與能力,短期的職位合作不是重點,能開發出政治新局的可能性才是考驗,一旦政黨和解的邏輯確立,政黨合作的可能性就會繁複起來,新閣揆要成就的不只是國會多數的支持,而是在多黨紛亂的表象中,確立一個可以穩定前進的政治協商平台。這才是二○○八年總統候選人們必練的十八銅人陣。

(作者為中央研究院社會科學研究所助理研究員)

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