香港選舉,長毛出位

【徐永明】 / 中國時報 A15/時論廣場

上個週末剛結束的香港立法會選舉,是一個威權中央下地方民主選舉的異例。雖然泛民主派的直選選票高達六成,但是因為席次並未過半,六十席議員僅佔二十五,所以被國際媒體視為民主派的挫敗,北京對港治理的一大勝利,連港澳辦的官員也喜孜孜地宣稱這是香港歷來最民主的選舉。

原本寄望兩次七一大遊行的效應,民主派選前打出三十席過半的訴求,透過議會來制衡特首,進一步推動立法、特首的雙普選。但是如果細算在目前比例代表制下,民主派要過半必須在直選席次上獲得二十四席以上,也就是必須囊括百分之八十的直選得票率,這在民主選舉中幾乎是不可能的,大概只有共產黨推選總書記的過程中才會出現。

所以,香港民主派的政治行動是建立在不切實際的選票計算上。雖然有所謂配票的呼籲,但是要透過超級多數的選票動員,藉以指引香港民主化的路徑,這個天真的想法就留給了北京相當的運作空間,只要民主派在既有的選制下未能過半,反對雙普選的保皇黨,就可以僅六十多萬票而宣稱大勝,至於一百一十萬香港選民支持的泛民主,卻以李柱銘流淚,公開認錯告敗。

顯然,香港的民主缺乏一個公平的,可以切實反映民意,生產出有效代表的選舉制度。而越多民眾的參與,創下投票率五成五的新高,反而是產生更大的挫折,因為就算民主派能過半,在基本法「行政主導」的設計下,立法會是一個諮詢機構,與橡皮圖章相去不遠,所謂普選的想法也早在四月就被北京人大以釋法延後。

或許這解釋了,許多形象溫和、出身中產的現任民主黨議員紛紛落選,而言行大膽的獨立候選人,像是媒體名嘴「大班」鄭經翰、喜歡示威挑釁的「長毛」梁國雄,兩個人選票加起來遠多於號稱第二大黨(十席)的自由黨,這代表香港的民主運動進入新的階段,對照哭喪著臉的民主黨高層,一當選的長毛就已經在特區政府外,振臂甩髮抗議選務疏失了。

這令人想起國會全面改選前的台灣,雖然有立委的補選,但是數目太少不能和老代表相比,是不可能影響大局的,反對運動在選票上也從來沒有過半,所以和體制衝撞,對民主制度落實的抗爭成為焦點,選舉不是用來蒐集選票,而是社會運動的一環,透過挑戰威權來解放民眾的聲音。

反觀這次香港選舉,已經走在一個十字路口上,在不公平的選制下,多數民意反而被貶低,社會主流的聲音成為輸家,這是民意代表懶惰所造成,每個政治人物的職責不僅是去佔領政治職位,更要緊的是去宣揚民意,這才是香港民主的出路。

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World Cup

Benefits and risks. Chen Xiaoyang noted, new balance 580 Brazilian inflation rate is currently 6.19 percent. A large influx of tourists during the World Cup in Brazil, will push the Brazilian food, accommodation and transportation prices. This accounts for only three Brazilian inflation index proportion nearly 10%, pushing up inflation 0.35 percent, when inflation is likely to exceed the government's target ceiling of 6.5% management. Although the Brazilian government has taken a number of measures to converse 1970 impose restrictions electricity and gasoline and other energy prices, but it is difficult to control inflation during the World Cup. If inflation continues to rise, the Brazilian economy will be worse.

MMMhand inConverse

World Cup coming up first converse 1970 superstar Neymar course, he was the most brilliant Brazil star, and he will debut in the World Cup opener, thousands of new balance 580 viewers will see him on TV, I think this is a test for him, if he can withstand the pressure, he can achieve very, very high level.

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