馬習會的代價之一

林正義
中央研究院歐美所研究員

馬總統想在他任期內,可與習近平舉行高峰會,打造他個人的歷史地位。馬英九對英國「經濟學人」說要再創造馬習會的適當條件。這可理解他為何要限期服貿協議的生效。

百分之百反對兩岸服貿協議是少數,但大多數人反對的是「黑箱」服貿。國人質疑有其合理性。一、簽署對象是有敵意的中國,若沒有逐條審查,中國將加快以經濟吸納台灣的戰略腳步。二、部分承諾開放的台灣行業將受到衝擊,網路、數據通信服務,也危及個人資訊的保護。三、事前談判溝通不足、協商過程不透明,事後審查程序又出現嚴重的不正當性。四、馬英九下令談判團隊限期簽署、國民黨團立委限期通過,在時間壓迫下,壓縮台灣的經濟利益空間;五、不相信馬總統有決心捍衛台灣的主體性,及其處理重大國政與危機的能力,而他有自己的兩岸關係時間表,更忽略中國對台的中長程威脅。

根據兩岸服務貿易協議第十一條,台灣雖可採取「例外措施」,但難以期待政府有能力確實把關。馬政府到今年才建立兩岸協議的國家安全審查機制。第一階段由陸委會提報,經行政院的跨部會審查之後,再由國安會負責第二階段審查,檢視對國家安全所造成的衝擊。此套機制根本沒有適用在去年簽署的服貿協議。

馬政府上台之初,王金平與民進黨一再呼籲政府訂定「兩岸協議處理條例」,行政部門卻深怕國會與社會的監督,會拖延兩岸協議生效的時機。反服貿的學運同樣的訴求,終於得到絕大多數民意的支持。兩岸協議有立法監督條例,北京要知道台灣的民意,台北也有說不的籌碼。

台灣有數百年對外通商的歷史,既不鎖國也不怕國際化。馬總統執意快速處理王金平關說、服貿協議案,雙雙帶來台灣社會的動盪。馬習北京APEC會面已經破局。在太陽花學潮之後,馬總統應早日放棄在第三地馬習會的安排。

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