核四公投什麼?

黃偉峰╱中研院歐美所副研究員

自從江揆拋出核四公投後,擁核反核團體激辯數月,支持和反對公投者亦加入爭論。馬政府想用公投來替其核能政策解套。在野政黨則利用反核來凝聚民氣。表面上核能涉及國家重大政策,符合馬政府所認定的全國性公投要件。實際上因公投高投票門檻,未投票已注定核四公投不會通過。於是在野陣營質疑這是執政黨機關算盡的奧步。原本主張公投可以彌補代議政治不足的在野黨與民團開始懷疑核四公投的必要性與正當性。可是原本認定公投即危險民粹的執政精英卻突兀地倡議公投可以促使公共政策辯論,解決重大政策爭議。物換星移、時空錯置,兩造人馬只因政權輪替,換了位置便換了腦袋。尤有甚者,既然主張政策辯論,居然還有領導者未辯即認定核四一案不容「氣大於理」。儼然「理」字只是站在執政擁核一方,在野反核不過利用「民氣」而無理取鬧罷了。權力傲慢,夫復何求!

其實,不論執政或在野黨,擁核或反核團體都對公投實踐有所誤解。從歐美民主政治所實踐的公投經驗來看,選民的投票抉擇從來就不是單就公投命題來做判斷。因此,前法國總統密特朗慨言:「當政府欲用公投詢問民眾某一問題的意見時,通常民眾所給的是針對另一問題的答案。」他所謂民眾在公投中所反應的另類意見通常是指對政府的信任及對執政者的評價。舉例來說,儘管2005年歐盟的憲法草約對於法國和荷蘭而言皆算有利,但大多法荷民眾因不信任政府或討厭執政黨而投下反對票。致使歐憲草約成為公投祭品,必須再行修正才獲批准。

那麼核四公投什麼?未來若有公投,選民也當然不只是針對立法院所送出的核四公投主文來投票。台灣民眾有可能將其對馬政府的不滿和不信任反映在其公投抉擇上。而民眾對政府的不信任不僅來自報載台電避重就輕地揭露核能電廠安全的訊息,或其漏洞百出的購電供電政策和管理效能。更可能來自執政者欲規避政治責任而運用高投票門檻的公投制度來護航其既定政策。如果有一公投制度未投票就已知道其結果,則民眾為何要相信這制度是公平的?為何要接受其結果具有正當性呢?如果民眾不能接受核四公投結果有正當性,則執政當局運用公投來解決政策爭議不就白忙一場。為政者心術不正,百姓自然不能信任。儘管核四是大法官所宣稱的「措施性政策」,如果馬政府認為大多數民眾反核,願從善如流,則以其行政權,加上立法院國民黨多數決議,自可宣佈廢核。可是馬政府卻矯情地運用公投來卸責,堪稱代議政治之惡劣典範。反之,若真有心為台灣民主政治立下良好典範,則馬政府應接受各界建議修改公投法,降低重大政策公投之投票門檻。讓公投回歸常態議題辯論,而非程序技術之爭。當執政者運用偏頗制度巧門去阻止民眾說「理」,那就休怪民眾的怒「氣」反應在公投抉擇上。更何況民眾這股「氣」是建築在一個簡單的常「理」上:即高人口密度的大台北位居高頻率地震帶是禁不起任何一次的日本福島核災。不論核電廠安全係數有多高,不論廢核後電費漲多少,台灣民眾會以「同理心」來對待近千萬同胞的生命安全。反核四的人不是一昧無理地反對核能發電,而是不願拿機率與世代子孫生命開玩笑。這是個生命價值選擇,不是能源價格判斷。

※本文刊登於2013.05.10自由時報自由廣場〈公投核四?公投馬政府?〉http://www.libertytimes.com.tw/2013/new/may/10/today-o6.htm,此為原稿全文。

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