中國對釣魚台政策給台灣的啟示

林正義/中央研究院歐美所研究員

自2012年日本政府宣佈釣魚台「國有化」起,中國對釣魚台政策,由被動轉為主動,由消極轉為積極,由間接轉為直接,也使台灣由主角淪為配角。中國海監以兩支巡航編隊各4艘船艦,每月進入釣魚台12海里內巡航5~6次。中國海監飛機飛越釣魚台上空,「江衛級」巡防艦甚至以雷達鎖定日本海上自衛隊直升機、「夕立號」驅逐艦,引起日本空前緊張與抗議。

中國在造艦不及之下,由破冰船或各種軍艦如遠洋拖輪、測量船、電子偵察船,改裝成重噸位的海監船,頻繁進出釣魚台海域,證明已具有管轄實際作為,也順道為台灣漁船撐腰壯膽。釣魚台的現狀已使台灣東北方海域安全的環境丕變。台灣海巡署、海空軍巡弋與值勤的自由靈活度縮小,需要時時注意中方船艦與飛機的方位。

中國針對釣魚台主權宣稱,輪番發表聲明、刊登國際廣告、進行外交宣傳戰。這與台灣、日本做法近似。中國向聯合國秘書長交存釣魚台及其附屬島嶼領海基點基線的座標表和海圖,向聯合國海洋法大陸礁層界限委員會(CLCS)提交東海部分海域200海里以外大陸礁層劃界案,凸顯台灣在主權宣稱上的脆弱性。北京公布「釣魚島是中國的固有領土」白皮書,指出「兩岸同胞在民族大義面前,在共同維護民族利益和尊嚴方面,是一致的」,期待兩岸在釣魚台問題上要口徑對準日本。

中國呼籲美方在釣魚台問題上保持中立,例如,習近平希望美方「謹言慎行,不要介入釣魚島主權爭議,不要做任何可能激化矛盾和令局勢更加複雜的事情」。另外,從美國的角度,則希望馬政府要注意時機敏感,不要因保釣而使美日因應釣魚台情勢時更為複雜。

馬總統以中國否定1952年中日和約,未對「東海和平倡議」表態,反對台灣與日本談判觸及主權議題等三個理由,表明不會與中國在釣魚台聯手。北京高度失望之餘,指出這不利兩岸政治互信。馬總統說法卻對台灣內部倡議兩岸合作保釣的媒體與人士,澆了一盆冷水。其實,馬總統在保釣上,希望兩岸兄弟爬山,各自努力,但他的期望不一定會實現。

※本文刊登於2013.02.22自由時報自由廣場〈釣魚台 三國演義〉http://www.libertytimes.com.tw/2013/new/feb/22/today-o3.htm,此為原稿全文。

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