ECFA公投 共識運動

2009-7-10
◎ 徐永明

台灣智庫日前發表了一份關於ECFA公投的最新民調結果。若深入剖析該份民調結果,可以發現從民主程序來關照目前兩岸關係的發展,是現階段台灣民眾超越黨派立場的共識。尤其當高達八成五的民眾認為,兩岸簽訂ECFA應讓人民參與表達意見;七成同意未來兩岸簽訂重要協議需交付公民投票;過半數(六成)支持民進黨所發起的ECFA公投,都呈現出民意要求參與兩岸進程的趨勢。這代表過去公投運動的極化形象在這次公投中有轉向共識運動的可能。

同時,當執政黨從舊有黨派鬥爭的角度來定性這次ECFA公投時,民眾則表現出「深思熟慮」的特性:有七成民眾認為既然澎湖開辦賭場尚需住民公投,ECFA當然更需要台灣人民的同意。更進一步地,針對蔡英文主席認為舉辦ECFA公投,可以讓政府與對岸協商時有更多談判籌碼一事,也有六成以上的民眾表示贊同。這顯示民眾不僅有參與兩岸進程的意願,更具備對兩岸關係深思熟慮的特性,存在著理性的考量面向。

值得朝野政黨重視的是,這次公投不只是制衡馬政府一黨獨大的民主動員,更是促使台灣民眾對兩岸關係形成共識的運動契機,也是一個深化公投民主的理性思維的機會,而不再只是淪為政治菁英動員群眾的政治工具。如果無法認識到這次ECFA公投民眾回應的意涵,就難以掌握這次公投運動廣泛的社會基礎,這也是為什麼六成三的民眾認為國民黨政府應該支持ECFA公投的舉辦;而有相近比率的民眾也認為馬英九總統應該要支持舉辦ECFA公投。

如果還是從舊有的「鳥籠公投」思維來錯估這次公投運動對兩岸關係發展的理性基礎;如果只是想要透過公投審議委員會來戕害人民對兩岸進程民主參與的可能;如果只是從選舉競爭的角度來提防公投綁大選,都會大大地錯估這次公投所具有的「全民共識」、「深思熟慮」特性,以及對兩岸協議提示了新的「民主可能」。

民眾已經透過民調表達了她/他們的集體訊息,現在要考驗的是:朝野政治領袖的傾聽能力,以及如何回應這個民眾訴求的挑戰。

(作者為東吳大學政治系助理教授)

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