中國的民主、人權與兩岸關係

楊信男(臺大物理系名譽教授)

這次總統大選,兩黨爭論的兩岸議題如共同/一中市場、大陸投資管理、直航、大陸觀光客、承認中國學歷等雖然重要,可惜對於兩岸問題的核心,即如何縮短兩岸政治制度的差異卻毫未觸及,令人失望。

對獨派人士而言,中國的民主與人權純屬他國內政,台灣只需「獨善其身」即可。只是,中國的一切就如其沙塵暴一般,隨時影響台灣,我們無法置身度外。只有中國出現民主與人權的政府,台灣的主權才能得到和平理性的解決。
對嚮往統一的人來說,絕大多數的人並不願台灣被共產黨統治。道理很簡單,從幾則中國新聞便可明白。

今年2月24日,山西臨汾市體育場舉行了一場現場轉播的「萬人公審」大會,公審去年12月釀成逾百人死亡的新窯礦災三名礦場負責人。另一是今年1月下旬雪災造成中國南方電煤嚴重缺乏,為確保南方發電用煤,山西所有礦場奉命日夜加班,供應南方所需,結果山西本地卻出現「煤荒」,僅夠大型電廠發電之用,其餘動力用煤則嚴重吃緊。
此外,中共當局箝制媒體的強悍也是舉世聞名,除了囚禁31名新聞工作者,名列世界第一外,也嚴厲管制網路。台灣傳媒的網站,不管藍綠全被鎖住。西藏動盪最初幾天,人民網、新浪網隻字不提,之後拒絕外媒入藏採訪,封鎖YouTube,隻手遮天。

這種極權體制,國家和黨機器的權力沒有規章地凌駕一切,當然對台灣人民毫無吸引力。所以不管主張獨立或統一,促進中國「和平演變」應該是大家都能接受的努力方向。

目前中國的GDP全球第四,外匯存底世界第一,已成功發射人造衛星探測月球;軍隊人數也是世界最多,又擁有核武,如此一個龐大的軍、政、經體系若像第一、二次世界大戰前的德國,被不理性的力量誤導失控,對於亞洲,甚至全世界都是大災難,所以歐美各國都希望促成中國「和平演變」。台灣同為華人世界一份子,又是中國近鄰,這方面更應有警覺性與對策。

總而言之,在中國倡言「反獨促統」之際,未來政府應力推「和平演變」。在溫家寶高談領土主權的變更需要包含大陸及台灣十三億人民同意時,我們應該呼籲共產黨要儘速舉行選舉以取得它執政的合法性,並立即從香港特首直選開始。最重要的是,政府應該擬定縝密計劃,結合民間積極支援中國人民爭取民主、人權的努力。我們期盼,在中國出現民主與人權的政府後,兩岸人民能夠透過真誠、理性的對話找出和平的解決方案,確保東亞乃至世界的穩定。

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